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03 Oct · 11:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1619
3-2Final setsJedrzejak won
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1640
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 54%. The actual result was Patryk Jedrzejak 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 75.5
107 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jedrzejak −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jedrzejak is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gumulinski.

▲ Patryk Jedrzejakpre 42% → final 89%
Piotr Gumulinski ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsJedrzejak recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games