3 Oct · 21:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1629
FormWWLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Kolek
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1472
FormLWLWL
67%
33%
🌟Stapor rarely covers set handicap as underdog 38% (40)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)