3 Oct · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1440
FormWWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1600
FormWWWWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)