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← TT Elite Series predictions
03 Oct · 16:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1511
2-3Final setsGesiarz won
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1457
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 56%. The actual result was Piotr Gesiarz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Mucha favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 75.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Mucha is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gesiarz.

▲ Grzegorz Muchapre 60% → final 11%
Piotr Gesiarz ▼
Biggest swing 96 ptsGesiarz recovered from 3%72 points · 5 games