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03 Oct · 12:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1368
3-2Final setsSinicki won
PMPiotr Maruszak
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1412
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Maruszak at 54%. The actual result was Maciej Sinicki 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Maruszak favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 73.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Maruszak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Maruszak −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Sinicki is favoured to win, below means Piotr Maruszak.

▲ Maciej Sinickipre 49% → final 76%
Piotr Maruszak ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsSinicki recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games