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03 Oct · 12:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1438
3-0Final setsPiotrowski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1309
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 60%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 75.5
50 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 64% → final 100%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsPiotrowski recovered from 44%47 points · 3 games