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03 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KMKacper Makowski
🇵🇱Kacper Makowski
ELO 1330
3-1Final setsMakowski won
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1368
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sinicki at 56%. The actual result was Kacper Makowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Sinicki favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maciej Sinicki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maciej Sinicki −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Makowski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Sinicki.

▲ Kacper Makowskipre 40% → final 94%
Maciej Sinicki ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsMakowski recovered from 40%58 points · 3 games