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03 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DMDaniel Morawiec
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1507
3-2Final setsMorawiec won
RIRafal Idaczyk
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1455
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Idaczyk at 52%. The actual result was Daniel Morawiec 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Daniel Morawiec favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 76.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Daniel Morawiec −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Daniel Morawiec −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Morawiec is favoured to win, below means Rafal Idaczyk.

▲ Daniel Morawiecpre 44% → final 2%
Rafal Idaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsIdaczyk recovered from 41%72 points · 5 games