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03 Oct · 13:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1319
1-3Final setsSuchecki won
WSWaclaw Suchecki
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1279
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 57%. The actual result was Waclaw Suchecki 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Rolak favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 72.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
2.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Waclaw Suchecki.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 61% → final 98%
Waclaw Suchecki ▼
Biggest swing 47 pts56 points · 3 games