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03 Oct · 14:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1619
3-2Final setsJedrzejak won
RIRafal Idaczyk
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1455
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jedrzejak at 65%. The actual result was Patryk Jedrzejak 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.22
Favourite won
Total 73.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patryk Jedrzejak is favoured to win, below means Rafal Idaczyk.

▲ Patryk Jedrzejakpre 70% → final 100%
Rafal Idaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games