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DeuceLab
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03 Oct · 16:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1330
1-3Final setsEliasz won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1345
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 51%. The actual result was Adrian Eliasz 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 76.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Karol Sulkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Karol Sulkowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 47% → final 11%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsEliasz recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games