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03 Oct · 16:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1640
3-0Final setsGumulinski won
PJPatryk Jedrzejak
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1619
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 51%. The actual result was Piotr Gumulinski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patryk Jedrzejak favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patryk Jedrzejak −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gumulinski is favoured to win, below means Patryk Jedrzejak.

▲ Piotr Gumulinskipre 55% → final 11%
Patryk Jedrzejak ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsJedrzejak recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games