Dawid Poloszczanski vs Arkadiusz Mugowski — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

03 Oct · 16:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski

ELO 1325

1-3Final setsMugowski won

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1415

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mugowski at 58%. The actual result was Arkadiusz Mugowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Dawid Poloszczanski — profile →Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Arkadiusz Mugowski favoured — closing 1.65

Favourite won

Total 77.5

72 points played

Under

Set handicap

Arkadiusz Mugowski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Arkadiusz Mugowski −3.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 1-3 at close

4.95

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 38% → final 1%

Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼

Biggest swing 42 pts71 points · 4 games