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03 Oct · 18:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1649
3-1Final setsPawlik won
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1489
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 60%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Jakub Skorupa.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 57% → final 99%
Jakub Skorupa ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games