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DeuceLab
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03 Oct · 18:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMateusz Baran
🇵🇱Mateusz Baran
ELO 1487
2-3Final setsSzurgot won
ASAndrzej Szurgot
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1297
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baran at 71%. The actual result was Andrzej Szurgot 2-3 — the underdog won.

Mateusz Baran — profile →Andrzej Szurgot — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Baran favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 73.5
99 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Baran −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Baran −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Baran is favoured to win, below means Andrzej Szurgot.

▲ Mateusz Baranpre 70% → final 28%
Andrzej Szurgot ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsSzurgot recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games