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03 Oct · 20:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
CPCezary Pawlik
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1649
3-0Final setsPawlik won
ASAndrzej Szurgot
🇵🇱Andrzej Szurgot
ELO 1297
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pawlik at 81%. The actual result was Cezary Pawlik 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cezary Pawlik favoured — closing 1.14
Favourite won
Total 70.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Cezary Pawlik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Cezary Pawlik −9.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
2.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Cezary Pawlik is favoured to win, below means Andrzej Szurgot.

▲ Cezary Pawlikpre 85% → final 99%
Andrzej Szurgot ▼
Biggest swing 15 pts55 points · 3 games