Mateusz Trela vs Arkadiusz Mugowski — TT Elite Series

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03 Oct · 21:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mateusz Trela

ELO 1397

3-0Final setsTrela won

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1415

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mugowski at 55%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 3-0 — the underdog won.

Mateusz Trela — profile →Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Arkadiusz Mugowski favoured — closing 1.5

Upset

Set handicap

Arkadiusz Mugowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Arkadiusz Mugowski −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 41% → final 0%

Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼

Biggest swing 46 pts68 points · 4 games