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DeuceLab
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03 Oct · 21:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JBJaroslaw Badura
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1521
3-2Final setsBadura won
MSMateusz Sikon
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1509
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sikon at 54%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Badura 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Badura favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Badura −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Badura −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Badura is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Sikon.

▲ Jaroslaw Badurapre 42% → final 69%
Mateusz Sikon ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsBadura recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games