Arkadiusz Mugowski vs Dawid Poloszczanski — TT Elite Series

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03 Oct · 22:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1415

1-3Final setsPoloszczanski won

🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski

ELO 1325

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mugowski at 61%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 1-3 — the underdog won.

Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Dawid Poloszczanski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Arkadiusz Mugowski favoured — closing 1.65

Upset

Total 77.5

77 points played

Under

Set handicap

Arkadiusz Mugowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Arkadiusz Mugowski −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Arkadiusz Mugowski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Arkadiusz Mugowskipre 65% → final 99%

Dawid Poloszczanski ▼

Biggest swing 39 pts71 points · 4 games