Karol Sulkowski vs Arkadiusz Mugowski — TT Elite Series

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03 Oct · 23:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski

ELO 1328

0-3Final setsMugowski won

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1415

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mugowski at 59%. The actual result was Arkadiusz Mugowski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

Karol Sulkowski — profile →Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Arkadiusz Mugowski favoured — closing 1.55

Favourite won

Set handicap

Arkadiusz Mugowski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Arkadiusz Mugowski −3.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 44% → final 2%

Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼

Biggest swing 47 pts59 points · 3 games