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04 Oct · 00:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1328
3-1Final setsSulkowski won
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1397
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 59%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Trela favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
76 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Trela.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 44% → final 87%
Mateusz Trela ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsSulkowski recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games