4 Oct · 02:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1675
FormLWWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Oracz
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1489
FormWLWLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+186
H2H17-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-2)