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04 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMarcin Marchlewski
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1534
3-0Final setsMarchlewski won
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1443
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marchlewski at 59%. The actual result was Marcin Marchlewski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Marchlewski favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 73.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Marchlewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Marchlewski −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Marchlewski is favoured to win, below means Tadeusz Piotrowski.

▲ Marcin Marchlewskipre 63% → final 96%
Tadeusz Piotrowski ▼
Biggest swing 36 pts54 points · 3 games