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04 Oct · 04:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1346
2-3Final setsLukaszewski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1301
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szoltysek at 56%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Total 76.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukaszewski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Szoltysek is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Artur Szoltysekpre 53% → final 5%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games