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04 Oct · 04:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMateusz Zagajewski
🇵🇱Mateusz Zagajewski
ELO 1382
3-0Final setsZagajewski won
KMKacper Makowski
🇵🇱Kacper Makowski
ELO 1315
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zagajewski at 55%. The actual result was Mateusz Zagajewski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zagajewski favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 76.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Zagajewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Zagajewski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Zagajewski is favoured to win, below means Kacper Makowski.

▲ Mateusz Zagajewskipre 59% → final 99%
Kacper Makowski ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts56 points · 3 games