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04 Oct · 04:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1447
1-3Final setsMaruszak won
PMPiotr Maruszak
🇵🇱Piotr Maruszak
ELO 1412
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 55%. The actual result was Piotr Maruszak 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Maruszak favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 74.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Maruszak −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotr Maruszak −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Staniszewski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Maruszak.

▲ Piotr Staniszewskipre 59% → final 12%
Piotr Maruszak ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsMaruszak recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games