4 Oct · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇵🇱Marcin Marchlewski
ELO 1534
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Marchlewski
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1447
FormLWWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Marchlewski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)