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04 Oct · 05:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1301
0-3Final setsKrukar won
PKPiotr Krukar
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1336
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krukar at 52%. The actual result was Piotr Krukar 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Krukar favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 74.5
65 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotr Krukar −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotr Krukar −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Krukar.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 51% → final 5%
Piotr Krukar ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts64 points · 3 games