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04 Oct · 13:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1329
1-3Final setsEliasz won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1370
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Eliasz at 54%. The actual result was Adrian Eliasz 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Eliasz favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 78.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Eliasz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Eliasz −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 42% → final 4%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 38 pts72 points · 4 games