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DeuceLab
Ratings & Predictions
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05 Oct · 12:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1535
2-3Final setsBadura won
JBJaroslaw Badura
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1544
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostok at 60%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Badura 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Szostok favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sebastian Szostok −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sebastian Szostok −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Szostok is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Badura.

▲ Sebastian Szostokpre 57% → final 96%
Jaroslaw Badura ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsSzostok recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games