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05 Oct · 04:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMaciej Lamer
🇵🇱Maciej Lamer
ELO 1264
2-3Final setsMaszczynski won
DMDariusz Maszczynski
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1266
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lamer at 54%. The actual result was Dariusz Maszczynski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maszczynski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 74.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maszczynski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maszczynski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Lamer is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Maszczynski.

▲ Maciej Lamerpre 51% → final 1%
Dariusz Maszczynski ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsMaszczynski recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games