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05 Oct · 15:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AZArtur Zmijewski
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1570
1-3Final setsKubiak won
AKArtur Kubiak
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1519
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zmijewski at 59%. The actual result was Artur Kubiak 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Zmijewski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Artur Zmijewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Zmijewski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Zmijewski is favoured to win, below means Artur Kubiak.

▲ Artur Zmijewskipre 63% → final 5%
Artur Kubiak ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsKubiak recovered from 21%67 points · 4 games