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Ratings & Predictions
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← TT Elite Series predictions
05 Oct · 15:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMariusz Leczycki
🇵🇱Mariusz Leczycki
ELO 1486
2-3Final setsZielinski won
MZMarcin Zielinski
🇵🇱Marcin Zielinski
ELO 1601
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zielinski at 59%. The actual result was Marcin Zielinski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Zielinski favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Total 73.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Zielinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Zielinski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Leczycki is favoured to win, below means Marcin Zielinski.

▲ Mariusz Leczyckipre 44% → final 21%
Marcin Zielinski ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsZielinski recovered from 3%72 points · 5 games