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04 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1443
2-3Final setsKrukar won
PKPiotr Krukar
🇵🇱Piotr Krukar
ELO 1351
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 62%. The actual result was Piotr Krukar 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 76.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotrowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Krukar.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 60% → final 26%
Piotr Krukar ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsKrukar recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games