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05 Oct · 14:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ASArtur Sobel
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1644
1-3Final setsSulkowski won
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1510
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sobel at 63%. The actual result was Bartosz Sulkowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Sobel favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 74.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Artur Sobel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Sobel −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Sobel is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Sulkowski.

▲ Artur Sobelpre 67% → final 7%
Bartosz Sulkowski ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsSulkowski recovered from 17%71 points · 4 games