5 Oct · 23:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1472
FormLWLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Staszczyk
KS
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1754
FormWWWWW
22%
78%
🌟Linek goes over total as underdog 70% (40)
Fair odds · Staszczyk
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~73 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+282
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+282)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)