6 Oct · 00:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1520
FormLLWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1643
FormWWLWL
37%
63%
🌟Lewczuk covers set handicap as underdog 63% (71)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H46-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-14)