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← TT Elite Series predictions
05 Oct · 19:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AKAndrzej Krezel
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1595
3-2Final setsKrezel won
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1643
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 55%. The actual result was Andrzej Krezel 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 75.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Andrzej Krezel is favoured to win, below means Henryk Tkaczyk.

▲ Andrzej Krezelpre 48% → final 100%
Henryk Tkaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsKrezel recovered from 38%72 points · 5 games