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05 Oct · 15:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMiroslaw Lewczuk
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1520
2-3Final setsTkaczyk won
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1643
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 67%. The actual result was Henryk Tkaczyk 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 72.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Lewczuk is favoured to win, below means Henryk Tkaczyk.

▲ Miroslaw Lewczukpre 35% → final 0%
Henryk Tkaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 5 games