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04 Oct · 18:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1592
2-3Final setsOstachowski won
POPiotr Ostachowski
🇵🇱Piotr Ostachowski
ELO 1391
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 79%. The actual result was Piotr Ostachowski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Guzik favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 76.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Guzik −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Guzik is favoured to win, below means Piotr Ostachowski.

▲ Michal Guzikpre 83% → final 60%
Piotr Ostachowski ▼
Biggest swing 37 pts72 points · 5 games