Pawel Kurek vs Jakub Nowak — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

04 Oct · 18:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Pawel Kurek

ELO 1553

3-1Final setsKurek won

🇵🇱Jakub Nowak

ELO 1339

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 68%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Pawel Kurek — profile →Jakub Nowak — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kurek favoured — closing 1.5

Favourite won

Total 74.5

75 points played

Over

Set handicap

Kurek −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Kurek −4.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.3

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 73% → final 100%

Jakub Nowak ▼

Biggest swing 59 ptsKurek recovered from 41%72 points · 4 games