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04 Oct · 20:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1452
3-1Final setsAdamus won
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1486
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ruszkiewicz at 54%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adam Ruszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 78.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Adam Ruszkiewicz.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 49% → final 99%
Adam Ruszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsAdamus recovered from 35%71 points · 4 games