6 Oct · 00:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1495
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zmijewski
AZ
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1570
FormLWWLL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Michalik🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Zmijewski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)