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04 Oct · 21:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1592
3-1Final setsGuzik won
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1502
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 56%. The actual result was Michal Guzik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Guzik favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 76.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Guzik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Guzik −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Guzik is favoured to win, below means Adam Ruszkiewicz.

▲ Michal Guzikpre 53% → final 91%
Adam Ruszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsGuzik recovered from 27%71 points · 4 games