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04 Oct · 22:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JGJakub Glanowski
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1486
3-1Final setsGlanowski won
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1346
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Glanowski at 65%. The actual result was Jakub Glanowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Glanowski favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 75.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Glanowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Glanowski −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Glanowski is favoured to win, below means Karol Sulkowski.

▲ Jakub Glanowskipre 70% → final 13%
Karol Sulkowski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsSulkowski recovered from 15%72 points · 5 games