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04 Oct · 23:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GSGrzegorz Sawicki
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1377
1-3Final setsRuszkiewicz won
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1486
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ruszkiewicz at 60%. The actual result was Adam Ruszkiewicz 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adam Ruszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Sawicki is favoured to win, below means Adam Ruszkiewicz.

▲ Grzegorz Sawickipre 36% → final 2%
Adam Ruszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games