5 Oct · 05:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1365
FormWLWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Nowak
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1203
FormLLLWW
67%
33%
🌟Nowak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Nowak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)