5 Oct · 03:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1203
FormLLLWW
85%Win chancemodel fair 1.18Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1604
FormLWLWL
15%
85%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 85% · 1.18vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~72 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+401
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+401)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)