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05 Oct · 02:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1553
3-0Final setsKurek won
PGPiotr Gumulinski
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1590
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gumulinski at 58%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Gumulinski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
47 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Gumulinski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gumulinski.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 45% → final 100%
Piotr Gumulinski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsKurek recovered from 41%46 points · 3 games