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05 Oct · 04:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1353
3-2Final setsZwolinski won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1317
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 52%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Wisniewski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 80.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Wisniewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Wisniewski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 56% → final 100%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsZwolinski recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games